Tropics Update_Monday morning notes for Igor, Julia and 92L

• At 5am Monday, Hurricane Igor was located 940 east of the Leeward Islands. This position is more than 2,080 miles from Miami.
• Maximum sustained winds are near 150mph, making Igor a powerful Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane Wind Scale.
• There is a 44% chance that Igor could become a Category 5 hurricane within the next 12-24 hours before a slight weakening trend begins Wednesday as Igor runs into stronger wind shear.
• Igor is currently moving west near 13mph, but a turn to the west-northwest is expected within the next 24 hours, followed by a northwest turn in a few days as it gets picked up by a frontal boundary.
• Igor is currently not expected to be a threat to the U.S., but could generate large ocean swells and rip currents along the eastern seaboard late this week.
• At 8am Monday, Tropical Storm Julia was located just southwest of the southern Cape Verde Islands with maximum winds near 40mph.
• Though Julia is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday morning, the forecast track takes Julia northwest into the open Atlantic through the next 5 days.
• The tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea near and just south of Jamaica continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
• There is remains a 40% chance that this wave could become a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next 2 days due to favorable environmental conditions. The next name on the 2010 list is Karl.
• Computer model track guidance remains in good agreement, taking this system south of Jamaica today and then over the Yucatan Peninsula in 72 hours before moving into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week.
• Additional information can be found at www.nhc.noaa.gov

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