Summary:
· At 11pm last night 91L became tropical depression 1, however, little change has occurred to the organization of the system since it formed last night.
· Conditions appear favorable for slow intensification and the tropical depression may become a weak tropical storm later today.
· Models continue to show the storm skirting the Florida coast and slowly turning toward the north late today and turning off to the northeast during the day tomorrow.
· Tropical storm force wind probabilities are at 41% for Cocoa Beach, FL and gusty winds will likely impact the coastal waters of Central Florida with a few feeder bands making their way onshore late today and tomorrow.
· The next name on the Atlantic hurricane season list of names is Arthur
Florida Outlook:
· Tropical storm watches are in effect from just south of Flagler to Fort Pierce.
· Currently impacts to Florida appear to be gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph and heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula from late today through Thursday. Current forecasts place rainfall totals at 1 to 2 inches across the Peninsula with higher amounts up to 3 inches along the east central Florida coast.
· Isolated rainfall totals up to 5 inches are possible along coastal portion of east central Florida and minor flooding may result, especially in low lying or flood prone areas that see storms train over the same area for extended periods of time
· In addition, rip current risks will remain elevated along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts and minor beach erosion is possible along the Atlantic coast beaches
Slides are attached, and another briefing packet will be sent out this afternoon. For more information please visit the National Hurricane Center Webpage atwww.nhc.noaa.gov
http://live.oysterradio.com/
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