Tropics Update: Tuesday Notes on Tropical Storm Nadine and 96L

Summary:

• As of 11am EDT Tuesday, Tropical Storm Nadine was located 640 miles west-southwest of the Azores Islands.
• Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph and gradual weakening is expected through the next few days. Nadine is moving into an area of increasing wind shear and cooler ocean temperatures and this storm is expected to finally become post-tropical by Friday.
• Tropical Storm Nadine is moving toward the east-southeast at 7 mph and the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center keeps Nadine in the north-central Atlantic Ocean and far away from the United States.

·         Elsewhere, an area of low pressure in the central Atlantic Ocean, about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, has been designated as 96L. The showers and thunderstorms surrounding this system have gradually become better organized and environmental conditions are favorable for further development.

·         The National Hurricane Center is indicating a high (70%) chance that 96L will develop by Thursday morning as it drifts toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

·         Computer models suggest that 96L will become Tropical Depression Fifteen or Tropical Storm Oscar within the next 24 to 36 hours.

·         Models also suggest that this system will stay over the open Atlantic waters as it moves in a general northwest direction through the next couple of days before curving toward the northeast later this week.

Florida outlook:

• Tropical Storm Nadine will not impact the Sunshine State.
• It is too early to tell if 96L will have any impacts on Florida, but computer models are suggesting that it will stay well to our east.

More information on Tropical Storm Nadine and 96L can be found at www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Briefing slides are attached. Another update will be issued Wednesday morning.

Tropics Update (4)

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