Researchers with North Carolina State University
anticipate that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season will be significantly
more active compared to averages from the past 66 years.
From 1950–2014, an average of about 11 named storms occurred in
the Atlantic basin, which comprises the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of
Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.
Researchers say this year coastal residents can
expect 15 to 18 hurricanes and tropical storms in the Atlantic basin.
Of those named storms, three to five may become
major hurricanes.
They
believe two to five named storms may occur in the Gulf of Mexico, with one to
three becoming hurricanes.
Researchers
also believe that two to four tropical cyclones may form in the Caribbean, with
one to two developing into a hurricane.
Researchers analyzed more than 100 years of data about
Atlantic Ocean hurricane intensity and positions to predict the number of
storms that will form in each ocean basin.
The
research also takes into account other variables such as sea-surface
temperatures and weather patterns.
The
2016 Atlantic season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
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