Good afternoon. Attached is a pdf page highlighting some of the latest thinking with the tropics.
Summary:
Not much has changed from yesterday, and is something we just need to continue to monitor at this time.
There is still a 20% area outlooked for development in the next 48 hrs. Models are, however, becoming more consistent with tracking an area of low pressure towards the Big Bend/northwest FL through Friday. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding what will evolve, which brings uncertainty in forecasting specific impacts. Regardless, rainfall chances will continue to ramp up as we move into the latter part of the week, particularly if this system approaches as currently forecast by the models.
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